your official ufc on vs 1 bets

[EzFlyer]

post 'em.

here's the fight card:

UFC ON VERSUS: MARCH 21, 2010
venue: 1st Bank Center in Broomfield, Colorado

Main Bouts (On Versus):
-Jon Jones (9-1; #10 Light Heavyweight) vs. Brandon Vera (11-4)
-Junior Dos Santos (10-1; #6 Heavyweight) vs. Gabriel Gonzaga (11-4)
-Cheick Kongo (14-6-1) vs. Paul Buentello (27-11)
-James Irvin (14-5) vs. Alessio Sakara (14-7)

Preliminary Bouts (Non-Televised):
-Clay Guida (25-11) vs. Shannon Gugerty (12-4)
-Eliot Marshall (8-1) vs. Vladimir Matyushenko (23-4)
-Duane Ludwig (19-10) vs. Darren Elkins (9-1)
-John Howard (13-4) vs. Daniel Roberts (9-0)
-Brendan Schaub (4-1) vs. Chase Gormley (6-1)
-Mike Pierce (10-3) vs. Julio Paulino (17-2)
-Jason Brilz (17-2-1) vs. Eric Schafer (11-4-2)

* Based on MMAWeekly.com World MMA Rankings

[EzFlyer]

so far all i have is:

Jones @ -240: 480 for 200 -- 50 parlays
JDS: 50 parlays
parlays
50 to win 46.62 on Jones -250 & JDS -265




my plans:

-not much more action on jones. maybe a couple parlays.
-possibly add more to jds. idk about the price though.
-possible bet on buentello if +400 or so -- SMALL.
-unless irvin or sakara are big dogs, which i doubt, i'll prolly abstain

undercard:

-if guida's only a small fave (doubtful) i'll play him
-if marshall or vladdy are big dogs, i'll play, but prolly nada.
-if pierce is only a small fave i'll play
-if brilz is a dog i'll play
-NO ACTION: ludwig/elkins, howard/roberts, schaub-gormley

[Danksta]

$50 on Paul Buentello over Cheick Kongo at +375.

[gabe531]

jones -240 48-20
jds -225 67.50 -30

[Bankable]

I'm on board with Jones, went fairly large on him.

I think JDS will win, and I like his style a lot, his chin is good too. But I'm not sure I want to lay that price against a thouroughly dangerous guy like GG. People always talk about CC's TD defense and yet GG was able to take him down rather easily the first fight, we haven't even seen what happens to JDS when he gets taken down and I do think GG has the skills to take him down a few times. Like they were saying in the promo JDS is all about boxing, he doesn't throw kicks and as far as I know he hasn't tried any TDs, therefore he's one dimensional, GG is going to be mixing it up a lot more.

Also I coud never forget how GG was on his way to finishing Carwin and then got caught, I still think GG is a much better fighter than Carwin.

[Bankable]

is it just me or does JDS seem overconfident?

I'm not saying being confident is bad, but he seems to think that he'll just be able to do whatever he wants. maybe it's just me hehe

[EzFlyer]

it's not just you. i love jds. bigtime. but i'm being careful on that fight, GG is a dangerous dude. GG is capable of beating anyone in the world, PERIOD. he has huge power, he's a BIG hw, and if he gets on top esp early it's bad news.

the thing is though, gg has proven one thing to me: he needs to finish you early or you got him. i might play jds with a little on gg rd1 or something.

[doug]

im got jones -250 for a unit. i was hoping he'd drop some. i think its a mismatch. jones is everything vera wants to be and he's got the nastiness vera lacks

im interested in some of the undercard, if the line is right. sakara, marshall, pierce, elkins. probably researching a bit after lunch.

im staying away from gg and jds. i got no idea what goes down on that one. i agree that gg is dangerous, too dangerous for me to bet jds. but... too inconsistent/underachieving. i think the line is pretty good. hold a gun to my head and i'd say gg is the way to play it... at this price.

kongo is way overpriced, but i can't convince myself to pull the trigger yet. i know buentello has good value, just dont think he'll win.

look at gabe's prices.

[EzFlyer]

you mean -225? yea that's nice on JDS.

and i know what you mean on buentello. i'm not as disciplined (aka not as smart!) as you, doug, so i'll prolly take a stab at buentello, but i'll prolly lose that stab

[TheFMan]

i also think gonzaga probably has a better chance than a lot are giving him. i expect jds to win, but i dont know what will happen if gonzaga gets on top. i know jds is tougher, has better cardio, and probably hits harder, but his ground is still a question.

[EzFlyer]

i really feel like gg's only chance to win is first round stoppage. his only legit chance i mean

[Will]

Medium - Sakara +165
Small - Elliot + 185

If given the chance i will hedge both of the above otherwise i will let them ride.

[Grabaka]

So far:
30 on Sakara +145
15 on Marshall +180
90 on Jones -190
10 on Daniels +200

[EzFlyer]

So far:
30 on Sakara +145
15 on Marshall +180
90 on Jones -190
10 on Daniels +200

how did you manage -190

[Grabaka]

So far:
30 on Sakara +145
15 on Marshall +180
90 on Jones -190
10 on Daniels +200

how did you manage -190

I managed -200 first in Betfair and pseudo hedge it. What would be the correct name of that "pushing the line"?