UFC 152 Official Bets

[Grabaka]

Date: Sep 22, 2012

Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Venue: Air Canada Centre
Broadcast: Pay-per-view and FX

- Jon Jones vs. Vitor Belfort
- Joseph Benavidez vs. Demetrious Johnson
- Michael Bisping vs. Brian Stann
- Evan Dunham vs. T.J. Grant
- Charles Oliveira vs. Cub Swanson
- Charlie Brenneman vs. Kyle Noke
- Vinny Magalhaes vs. Igor Pokrajac
- Sean Pierson vs. Lance Benoit
- Marcus Brimage vs. Jim Hettes
- Seth Baczynski vs. Simeon Thoresen
- Mitch Gagnon vs. Walel Watson

[Grabaka]

$137.84 on Rousey ITD + Benavidez @ -138
$115.22 on Jones vs Belfort ITD + Miocic ITD @ -115
$100.83 on Bellew + Glazkov + Rubio + Benavidez @ -101
$100.00 on Ward + Not Rousey Dec + Not Hendo Dec + Miocic + Benavidez @ +191
$50.00 on Rousey ITD + Benavidez + Martinez @ +155
$50.00 on Benavidez + Silva vs Browne ITD + Ellenberger ITD @ +630
$50.00 on Miocic + Bisping + Ellenberger ITD @ +838
$13.49 on Bellew + WardITD + JonesITD + BispigDec + MiocicStruve ITD + SilvaBrowne ITD @ +3,057
$10.00 on Ward KO + Jones ITD + Miocioc @ +1,207
$10.00 on Ward KO + Bisping @ +1,047
$10.00 on Ward ITD + Benavidez ITD @ +2,702
$10.00 on Dawson Ward ITD + Bisping + Jones ITD @ +742
$10.00 on Jones ITD + Benavidez + Miocic vs Struve ITD + Silva vs Browne ITD @ +705
$10.00 on Jones ITD + Not Stann Dec + Miocic vs Struve ITD + Silva vs Browne ITD @ +118

[EzFlyer]

Bisping @ -175: 262.50 for 150

[sbjj]

Grabaka, I see you have some of Grahams boxing picks tied up in those parlays. Last week was REAL good.

[Grabaka]

It was awesome. I had some other parlays on Ward straight so i couldnt pull the trigger bigger on the KO prop. That was so great! I ended up +700 plus those pending plays. I actually grabbed Ward straight @+400 for a 100 after round 1.....(clear mistake because Dawson was +300. But it did cashed. Then i lost 250 on raiders monday night. Very stupid move.
You went medium? big?

[sbjj]

I won 5 units. Would have been more but i bet a couple of dogs that did not come through. I think i am just going to go with Graham from now on. he seems to not have a clue of what is going to happen with Martinez-Chavez Jr. i first thought martinez, then went to Chavez, and now i think i am leaning Sergio again. the judges look to be legit. So chavez should not be able to get a robbery if it goes to decision.

[EzFlyer]

k for the 6 fights that have odds:

3u bisping -175
1u swanson +205

so far.

considering 4th unit on bisping.
considering grant +200.
considering DJ +230 or props.

prolly nada on hollett/hamill.

no clue on jones/belfort.

[Kicker]

$200 Bisping @ -175
$50 Bisping + Benavidez + Jones to win $68

[EzFlyer]

2u baczynski -145

[B_Goetz]

2u on Thoresen @ +115

Hoping TJ Grant will improve from +155 at BOF.

[EzFlyer]

rly why on thorsen? i'm on baczynski, have been ever since his drop to 170

[Kicker]

How do you guys see cub winning?

i think CO can take him down and sub him pretty easy

[EzFlyer]

How do you guys see cub winning?

i think CO can take him down and sub him pretty easy

was a price bet for me. kinda tailing grab on it. cub has looked quite good lately though man. he might have better hands than oliveira. both guys kick well. oliveira better on ground. cub might be physically stronger and/or better wrestler.

both should be 100% fine cardio wise.

it's just "closer than +205" kinda deal. i'm a big CO fan at 145 dude. if cub drops quite a bit i might just hedge it to zero or something.

[EzFlyer]

UFC 152 Risk: 537.50
Jones/Belfort
Benavidez/DJ
Bisping @ -175: 332.50 for 190 // ITD: 10 for 38.80 // Stann
Hamill/Hollett
Swanson @ +205: 50 for 102.50 // Oliveira
Magalhaes/Pokrajac
Dunham/Grant
Benoist/Pierson
Brimage/Hettes
Baczynski @ -145: 145 for 100 // Thoresen
Gagnon/Watson
Brenneman/Noke
---

that's where i am right now.

considering bet on benoist if cheaper.

considering maybe 1u on DJ (i know i'm in minority, i just see it as a 5 rd close decision coming up kinda like the edgar vs bendo one recently where i bet edgar in the rematch).

[B_Goetz]

2u Thoresen @ +115
2u Grant @ +165

rly why on thorsen? i'm on baczynski, have been ever since his drop to 170

I think he'll hold his own standing, and get the better of the grappling. He's pretty good on the ground, and has fairly good takedowns to go with it. Baczinski is tough, but I've never seen him as tremendously skilled. I could be wrong, as Thoresen seems quite green still.

edit: Thoresen also has a 4" reach advantage