Strikeforce Odds Out

[Grabaka]

MMA - STRIKEFORCE - May 15
STRIKEFORCE: "HEAVY ARTILLERY" ST LOUIS, MO- LIVE ON SHOWTIME - $250 LIMIT
8:25 PM
32529 BRETT ROGERS +200
32530 ALISTAIR OVEREEM -250
7:25 PM
32531 ANTONIO SILVA +135
32532 ANDREI ARLOVSKI -165
7:05 PM
32533 JOEY VILLASENOR +375
32534 RONALDO "JACARE" SOUZA -475
7:05 PM
32535 KEVIN RANDLEMAN +300
32536 ROGER GRACIE -450
7:00 PM
32537 ANTWAIN BRITT +165
32538 RAFAEL FEIJAO -205
5:00 PM
32539 LYLE BEERBOHM -115
32540 VITOR RIBEIRO -115

[Grabaka]

I see with my noob eyes great value on Randleman @ +300. Gracie looked aweful (to be kind) in his last bout with the mexecutioner. Terrible cardio and so on.
On the other hand Randleman was terribly happy to get his blue or purple belt bjj i dont recall wich one. He said this belt was the best belt ever to get and sounded very motivated. Hes still more powerful and better cardio than Gracie so i stabbed him.

Whats your thoughts opn this one? and the rest of the lines....

[EzFlyer]

I see with my noob eyes great value on Randleman @ +300. Gracie looked aweful (to be kind) in his last bout with the mexecutioner. Terrible cardio and so on.
On the other hand Randleman was terribly happy to get his blue or purple belt bjj i dont recall wich one. He said this belt was the best belt ever to get and sounded very motivated. Hes still more powerful and better cardio than Gracie so i stabbed him.

Whats your thoughts opn this one? and the rest of the lines....

wrong gracie. roger's been the real highly touted heavyweight gracie for years

[Grabaka]

Shiiiit

[EzFlyer]

doesn't mean randy doesn't have value bro, he might..

let's put it this way. when i heard a HW gracie was coming to the ufc recently, i ASSUMED it would be roger.. when i saw rolles, was less impressed

[Bankable]

Randleman did so little in his last fight, but the one punch he did throw almost took whitehead out.

[EzFlyer]

5d..

Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery - Heavyweight Championship 5 rounds - Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri - Showtime
Sat 5/15 2001 Brett Rogers +210
11:25PM 2002 Alistair Overeem -270
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri - Showtime
Sat 5/15 2101 Antonio Silva +150
10:25PM 2102 Andrei Arlovski -180
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery - Middleweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri - Showtime
Sat 5/15 2201 Joey Villasenor +360
10:05PM 2202 Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza -495
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri - Showtime
Sat 5/15 2301 Kevin Randleman +325
10:05PM 2302 Roger Gracie -435
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri - Showtime
Sat 5/15 2401 Antwain Britt +160
10:00PM 2402 Rafael Feijao -195
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery - Lightweight 3 rounds - Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri
Sat 5/15 2501 Lyle Beerbohm +100
7:30PM 2502 Vitor Ribeiro -130

------

i seriously might have zero bets. only considering plays on overeem.. MAYBE a play on bigfoot/aa, MAYBE a paly on beerbohm/ribeiro.

doug, you know beerbohm pretty well. how do you like his chances? or have you not seen shaolin much?

[EzFlyer]

aa-bigfoot is weird.

bigfoot has stunk it up on US soil. never beaten anyone good, maybe ricco, but ricco was FAT and bigfoot looked like ASS in that fight and arguably should've lost.

i'd bet arlovski (obviously serious layoff & 2 straight ktfo losses) if he was closer to even..

[sbjj]

Small bet on Britt.

[EzFlyer]

based on lack of confidence in feijao?

[sbjj]

based on lack of confidence in feijao?

Yes, somewhat. I think his habit of starting off slow may get him in trouble here.

[EzFlyer]

hrm. missed chance at shaolin? he's up to -150 now.. doug i need beerbohm input!

[doug]

beerbohm vs ribeiro

• beerbohm is a little like ben henderson. good but i think (underestimated ben a little) there's a ceiling to the talent level. a year ago i would have said beerbohm = bendo, maybe he still does, just hasn't had the opportunity to prove it. i think its likely he'll show more improvement in this fight.
• not sure where ribeiro is on talent. great record, but im sooo skeptical of the japanese talent.
• im pretty sure beerbohm is better all round and suspect he'll try to push the pace pretty hard.

i think they're about equal and i'd rather have the improving fighter, especially if he's better allround. plus the price. i don't think your "wrong" to bet either guy, the odds are probably fair now. personally id like to play beer at a little higher price.

[Bankable]

fwiw:

"IM LOOKING FOR A LAWYER TO GET ME OUT OF CONTRACT WITH STRIKEFORCE. PLEASE HELP. CONTACT ME AT 509 9955282 Lylebeerbohm@yahoo.com"

also I never knew beerbohm was a methhead. at any rate I am considering him but wondering where his head is at for this fight. personally I'd be pissed too if I had to fight a guy like Shaolin and nobody was going to see it.

[doug]

i knew he was a methhead and spent time in the pokey. not sure what to make of the contract thing. where did you see that?