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UFC Betting Statistics

Favorites Underdogs Total   Avg. Fav.
UFC since 11/19/05 76 25 101 -21010 -276
UFC 68 7 2 9 -3295 -471
UFN 9 6 3 9 -1165 -194
UFC 69 6 3 9 -1790 -298
UFC 70 6 4 10 -1470 -245
UFC 71 5 4 9 -1305 -261
UFN 10 6 3 9 -1345 -224
UFC 72 8 0 8 -1825 -228
TUF 5 7 0 7 -3710 -530
UFC 73 8 0 8 -2615 -327
UFC 74

7

2

9

-1845 -264
UFC 75 7 2 9 -1355 -194
UFC 76 6 3 9 -1235 -206
UFN 11 7 2 9 -1410 -201
UFC 77 5 4 9 -1325 -265
UFC 78 8 1 9 -2410 -301
TUF 6 Finale 7 2 9 -1860 -266
UFC 79 6 4 10 -1350 -225
UFC 80 6 3 9 -1540 -257
UFN 12 8 1 9 -2405 -301
UFC 81 4 4 8 -1465 -366
UFC 82 8 2 10 -2785 -348
UFN 13 7 5 12 -2875 -411
UFC 83 8 3 11 2510 -313
UFC 84 9 2 11 -2415 -268
UFC 85 5 6 11 -1295 -259
TUF 7 5 5 10 -1200 -240
         
Total 248 95 343 -70810 -286
Percentage 72% 28%      
  • Here are some UFC Stats to consider.  If you have any stats you would like to see post them on the forum and I can start working on it.

  • UFC 80 turned out to be a difficult card for bettors, 3 underdog winners. A championship won by a favorite.  Winning favorite % dropped from 75%.  $100 bet on each underdog will have earned you a $30 profit for the night.  Still tough to make money picking dogs. 

  • UFN 12 was a night of favorites, which is always the case for the TUF and UFN events.  The only underdog to hit the board was only +135.  $100 bet on each underdog hurt you to a tune of -$665!

  • UFC 81 was a big night for the underdogs, with 4 winners.  A slight (very slight) trend towards underdogs has brought the overall percentage to 26% winner for the dogs.  Check yourself, still no big prices hitting the winners circle, 2-1 or lower is the range.  $100 bet on each underdog would have returned a $325 profit.

  • UFC 82 was back to business as usual.  The favorites dominated winning 8 of 10 fight, with only a couple of very minor upsets.  $100 bet on each underdog would have cost you -$730.

  • UFN 13 added 5 underdog winners, but only the Irvin and Maynard wins coming as big surprises.  A slight trend towards underdogs is occurring due to more quality fighters and tighter matchmaking.  $100 bet on each underdog would have earned a $90 profit.  Nobody over +200 hit the board.

  • UFC 83 was pretty typical with a couple small upsets and some big favorites coming through again.  $100 wagered on each underdog would have resulted in a $205 loss for the evening. 

  • UFC 84 - another typical betting event. Dominated by the favorites with a couple minor (very minor) upsets. $100 wagered on each underdog would have cost you $640.  On the other hand, if you had bet a croaker on each favorite you would have seen a $193 profit.

  • UFC 85 was a huge day for the dogs.  Underdogs have done well recently, raising their overall win ratio from 25% to 27%.  $100 bet on all the dogs would have returned a profit of $680.  $100 bet on all the favorites would have cost you a $593 loss. 

  • TUF 7 was another good day for underdogs.  There is a big trend of underdog winners happening right now, which has dropped the favorites' historical win percentage from 75% to 72%.  TUF 7 was full of evenly matched bouts which contributed to underdogs win total. 

Recent UFC Underdog Winners

Winning Dog line comment
   
Couture 195 Sylvia
Lambert 365 Babalu
McDonald 170 Leban
Jardine 240 Griffin
GSP 115 Hughes
McFedries 455 Sakara
Silva 185 Franklin
Lauzon 610 Pulver
Sylvia 210 Arlovski
Stevenson 165 Edwards
McCully 400 Hardonk UFN 9
Hironaka 100 Petz
Caneiero 110 Clementi
Serra 850 GSP UFC 69
Koscheck 180 Sanchez
Okami 115 Swick
Gonzaga 400 CroCop UFC 70
Liaudin 105 Siver
Kongo 195 Ass Silva
Taylor 205 Crocota
Rampage 180 Liddell UFC 71
Martin 140 Salaverry
Alexander 350 Jardine
Starnes 215 Leban
Petz 265 Fioravant UFN 10
Tavares 115 Black
Johnson 200 Riener
Couture

110

Gonzaga UFC 74

Cote

200

Grove

Kongo 320 CroCop UFC 75
Siver 175 Kotani
Jardine 300 Liddell UFC 76
F Griffin 275 Shogun Rua
Clementi 160 A Johnson
Hazelett 110 Goulet UFN 11
Leben 165 T Martin
Sylvia +150 Vera UFC 77
Robinson +130 Gurgel
Grice +280 Black
Belcher +100 Starnes
Th Silva +125 Alexander UFC 78
Huerta -105 Guida TUF 6 Finals
Mandaloniz +120 Hightower
Liddell +105

Silva UFC 79

Clementi +190

Guillard

Sanchez +120 Palelei
Irvin +125 Cane
Rivera +265 Grove UFC 80
Werdum +185 Gonzaga
Kelly +180 Taylor
Stephans +135

Cole Miller UFN 12

Mir +135 Lesnar UFC 81
Eastman +185 Martin
Emerson +205 Nakamura
Beotsch +200 Heath
Herring +135 Kongo UFC 82
Fioravanti +135 Cummo
Alves +140 Parisyan UFN 13
Irvin +195 Alexander
Maynard +190 Edgar
Neer +165 Thomas
Johnson +200 Speer
Goulet +190 Hironaka UFC 83
Clementi +130 Stout
Day +275 Belcher
Reljic +125

Gouveia UFC 84

Palhares +135

Salaverry

Alves +170 Huhges UFC 85
Werdum +145 Vera
Lietes +140 Marquardt
Burns +330 Carniero
Cane +120 Lambert
Wiman +305 Tavares
Grove +160 Tanner TUF 7
Hazelett +170 Burkman
Lister even Horn
Sadollah +150 Dollaway
Brown +130 Arroyo
   
Total 15515  
Avg 198.9  

Here is a list of the underdog winners since UFC 60.    Its interesting to see that only 11 guys of +300 or more have won in the last 32 UFC events.  Another interesting thing is that of the 78 upsets pulled off, 7 of them were in championship matches, but none since UFC 74

 

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