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Franky's UFC 80 Picks
by Dave Franklin  Subscribe in a reader

BJ PennSaturday, January 19th, UFC makes it's way back to England for UFC 80: Rapid Fire. The event airs live at 3 p.m. EST and 12 p.m. PST. The event will also be re-played at the normal UFC times of 7 p.m. PST/10 p.m. EST.

I am as excited about this event as I am for nearly every MMA event. We are going to see the crowning of a new LW champion after the Sherk scandal and we get to see Gonzaga step back into the Octagon after his beat-down by Randy Couture.

Per Eklund vs. Sam Stout: The Swedish fighter Eklund is making his UFC debut. Eklund is a well-rounded fighter whose last win came via unanimous decision in Bodog Fight. Stout is returning to the Octagon after suffering a decision loss in a spectacular fight against Spencer Fisher. Stout definitely boasts the higher level of competition having fought 3 times in the Octagon. This should give him the upper-hand in this fight. Sam Stout by TKO round 1.

James Lee vs. Alessio Sakara:
Although this is Lee's fight fight in the UFC, he is no stranger to MMA. Lee is the King of the Cage LHW champion having last defeated Danny Bessant in November. Lee also finished Travis Wiuff in just 39 seconds at Pride 33. Sakara is coming off a vicious KO by the knee of Houston Alexander. Sakara is a black belt in BJJ and a pro boxer, but has not had very much success in the UFC losing 3 of his 5 fights. James Lee by submission round 1.

Paul Kelly vs. Paul Taylor:
This fight is obviously a showcase of England's talent as both fighter hail from the UK. The undefeated Kelly, who is making his UFC debut, is a teammate of TUF 3 winner Michael Bisping at Wolfslair Academy. Taylor seems to be reserved for UFC cards in England. His last fight was against Marcus Davis in which he almost finished by TKO before being submitted later in the first round. Paul Taylor by TKO round 1.

Antoni Hardonk vs. Colin Robinson:
Hardonk, the Dutch striker, struggles when the fight hits the ground. In his last two fights, he has been submitted by Frank Mir and lost a lay 'n pray decision to Justin McCully. Robinson, who hails from Ireland, is fighting in his second UFC fight. He lost his first in the  second round by TKO to Eddie Sanchez. If this fight stays on the feet, I will take Hardonk, but if it goes to the ground Robinson  will win this fight. Antoni Hardonk by decision.

Jorge Rivera vs. Kendall Grove:
Rivera is a UFC veteran having fought in the UFC since UFC 44 in 2003. He even appeared on TUF 4 The Comeback.  Kendall Grove was TUF 3's MW winner. At UFC 74, Grove surprisingly lost to Canadian Patrick Cote. One thing that Grove has over most any other fighter in the MW division is his height. He stands 6'6". Rivera has been KOed by a couple of hard-hitters in Chris Leben and Terry Martin. I don't think his chin is weak but it may be questionable. Kendall Grove by submission round 1.

Wilson Gouveia vs. Jason Lambert:
This is the kind of fight that casual MMA fans question how it made the main card but the real fans are excited for. Both of these fighters are moving up the ladder and they fight like they have nothing to lose. They put it all out in the playing field, in this case the Octagon, to try and win while at the same time trying to entertain the fans. Lambert, with his win over Babalu, was on some fans top ten, but I think that Gouveia is the more technical of these two fighters. Wilson Gouveia by decision.

Jess Liaudin vs. Marcus Davis:
Liaudin is 2-0 in the UFC and deserves a step-up in competition. Marcus Davis provides just that. Davis, whose strength lies in his boxing, was a contender on TUF 2. He lost his fight at the finale to Melvin Guillard. After that, Davis left the UFC for a year to develop other areas of his game. Since his return, Davis has won 5 straight including three submission wins and is now making a splash in the WW division. Marcus Davis by TKO round 2.

Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Fabricio Werdum:
This is a rematch from Gonzaga's first loss. The pair fought back in 2003 in a fight that ended when Gonzaga gassed and was mounted and finished with strikes. Many felt Gonzaga was invincible after delivering a devastating high-kick KO to Cro Cop, brought back to Earth after being defeated by Randy Couture at UFC 74. Werdum fought his first fight in the UFC against Andrei Arlovski in what was one of the most boring fights in recent UFC history. Werdum has changed camps and now trains at Chute Boxe. The brass at UFC, in GSP's words, was not impressed with Werdum's performance. Werdum is a ranked HW and I expect him to show that in this fight. With both fighters having world-class BJJ, I don't see either of them being submitted. Gonzaga has the power to KO Werdum, but I don't that he will be able to pull it off. I see this fight being a technical ground fight and with Gonzaga's gas tank being questionable I am taking Fabricio Werdum by decision.

BJ Penn vs. Joe Stevenson (LW Title Fight):
Let's get it out of the way... Will BJ Penn have the gas tank for this fight? It seems by listening to his interviews he will. Also, 155 suits him much better than 170. Kenny Florian was the first fighter from TUF to get a title shot, but I don't believe he earned it. I also do not count Serra's title shot as a fighter from TUF earning a title shot. What I am saying is, I think Stevenson is the first fighter from TUF to earn a title shot.

I do not see Stevenson finishing BJ by any method. What Stevenson has to do is play defense for the first two rounds and hope BJ gasses. He then needs to win the third, fourth, and fifth rounds to take the decision.  This, of course, is all dependent on BJ's training and cardio. With this being said I take BJ Penn by submission round 2.

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