marquez vs Diaz 2 card

[sbjj]

The card tomm. night is actually a very good card, which is rare these days, all the telivised fights are pretty good(on paper).

I am not betting on the main event, even though I think Diaz might have value @ +300 or more. I want to bet him, but he just looks like a fighter made to order for Juan Manuel, even @ his extended age.

I do however see some value bets on the undercard.

Daniel Jacobs vs. Dmitry Pirog...I like Pirog @ +165. He is not the fastest or hardest hitting mw out there, but he is a technician, and he really does the little things well in the ring(kinda like a Mayweather jr.) Very good defensive fighter with a good body attack and no stamina issues. 2 units on Pirog @ +165.

Robert Guerrero vs. Joel Casamayor...At first glance one would think Cas has value. The guy is a vet with a good record and much respect from the boxing community. And Guerrero just has not looked spectacular as of late. Couple of problems. #1 IMO Casamayor is ready to go any day, and by go, I mean IMO he is just about shot. #2 Guerrero's wife has recently been diagnosed as cancer free after a grueling period where things did not look that great. Robert has most certainly been able to train better than he has in quite some time.

IF Guerrero plays his cards right, i can see him taking Joel out. I like the under 8 1/2 here, 1 unit @ +205.


Sakio Bika vs. Jean Paul Mendy...This MIGHT just end up being a war. If the price was tighter here I would be all over Bika. If you have a UFC fight night bet around -200 to -300, I would consider a parlay with Bika here. Bika has been a terminator as of late, and is finally becoming the fighter he should have been. If this fight plays out the way i think it might, Bika very well could get a mid rounds stoppage. 1 unit on the under 8 1/2 @ +190

[sbjj]

+4.2 units.

Guerrero should have finished Cas., and made it a clean sweep. He had him hurt on numerous occasions, and just let him off each time.